- AUDUSD returns to the red after the early recovery to near 0.6930.
- Recession fears revive the dollar’s safe-haven demand, as Powell disappoints.
- Daily technical setup risks a test of the critical support at 0.6855.
AUDUSD is trading close to 0.6900, having failed to sustain the tepid bounce near the 0.6930 region. The US dollar is seeing a fresh demand on the return of risk-off flows in Thursday’s Asian trading, as investors remain worried about a looming risk of a global recession.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell showed the central bank’s commitment to fighting inflation, which caused the market to believe that the aggressive Fed’s tightening stance could tip the US economy into a recession. Further, the ongoing Ukraine war and China’s covid lockdowns are likely to keep the pressure up on inflation, and therefore, would compel global central bankers to act firmly to combat it.
Meanwhile, amidst a dire global economic outlook, bulls are unable to capitalize on the expectations that the RBA will deliver bigger and more rapid rate increases. Attention once again turns towards the second day of Powell’s testimony for further clarity on the rate hike track. The US business PMI reports will be also closely examined.