EUR/USD Akan Berjuang Untuk Memperpanjang Pemulihannya – Commerzbank | DCFX

Newsflash

29 Nov

16:16

Rupiah ditutup menguat di angka Rp15.390/US$ atau terapresiasi 0,26%. Penguatan terjadi selama tiga hari beruntun sejak 27 November 2023 dan merupakan yang terkuat sejak 22 September 2023 atau lebih dari dua bulan.

13:41

USD/CAD Diperdagangkan di Bawah 1,3550 Mendekati Posisi Terendah Sembilan Pekan, Fokus pada Data AS

12:34

Harga Emas India Hari Ini: Emas Melonjak, Menurut Data MCX

12:32

Harga Emas Naik ke Level Tertinggi Multi-Bulan karena Spekulasi Penurunan Suku Bunga Fed Terus Membebani USD

12:12

WTI Menguat di Atas $76,50, Fokus pada Data PDB AS dan Pertemuan OPEC+

10:13

Harga minyak mentah WTI dibuka lebih tinggi 0,20% di posisi US$76,56 per barel, begitu juga dengan minyak mentah brent dibuka menguat 0,28% ke posisi US$81,69 per barel.

10:11

Rupiah dibuka menguat di angka Rp15.375/US$ atau terapresiasi 0,35%. Penguatan terjadi selama tiga hari beruntun sejak 27 November 2023 dan merupakan yang terkuat sejak 22 September 2023.

08:18

Hingga pukul 06.40 WIB Rabu (29/11/2023), harga emas di pasar spot bergerak lebih tinggi atau naik 0,13% di posisi US$ 2.043,59 per troy ons.

08:04

Harga batu bara ICE Newcastle kontrak Januari ditutup di posisi US$ 127,9 per ton atau melemah 0,92% pada perdagangan Selasa (28/11/2023)

28 Nov

22:55

Prakiraan Harga Emas: XAU/USD Naik ke Tertinggi Enam Bulan di Tengah Lemahnya USD Jelang Pidato Pejabat Fed

22:53

Harga Minyak Naik Seiring Munculnya Rumor Mengenai Pertemuan Pihak OPEC+

19:14

Minyak Turun dari Terendah, sementara OPEC+ Diam Seribu Bahasa Jelang Pertemuan

19:09

Kontrak Berjangka Gas Alam: Pemulihan dalam Jangka Dekat

19:07

Kontrak Berjangka Minyak Mentah: Sisi Negatif Lebih Lanjut Memungkinkan

18:52

Nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS ditutup menguat ke level Rp15.430/US$ atau terapresiasi 0,39% pada perdagangan Selasa (28/11/2023).

Calendar

29 Nov

ECB President Lagarde Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

Net Payrolls

190.3K Actual(150K Forecast,211.7K Previous)

52-Week Bill Auction

4.935 Actual(0 Forecast,5.135 Previous)

BoE Haskel Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

7-Year Note Auction

4.399 Actual(0 Forecast,4.908 Previous)

Fed Barr Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

ECB Lane Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

Fed Barr Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

Business Confidence

70 Actual(69 Forecast,69 Previous)

API Crude Oil Stock Change

-817K Actual(-2M Forecast,9M Previous)

Construction Work Done QoQ

1.3 Actual(0.7 Forecast,0.4 Previous)

Monthly CPI Indicator

4.9 Actual(5.2 Forecast,5.6 Previous)

RBNZ Interest Rate Decision

5.5 Actual(5.5 Forecast,5.5 Previous)

BoJ Adachi Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

RBNZ Press Conference

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

Export Prices YoY

-3 Actual(0 Forecast,-2.6 Previous)

PPI YoY

-2.2 Actual(0.2 Forecast,-0.5 Previous)

Import Prices YoY

-0.5 Actual(0 Forecast,0.8 Previous)

North Rhine Westphalia CPI YoY

3 Actual(3.1 Forecast,3.1 Previous)

North Rhine Westphalia CPI MoM

-0.3 Actual(0 Forecast,-0.1 Previous)

ECB Non-Monetary Policy Meeting

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

Core Inflation Rate YoY Prel

4.5 Actual(4.7 Forecast,5.2 Previous)

Retail Sales YoY

5 Actual(5.7 Forecast,6.5 Previous)

Retail Sales MoM

-0.2 Actual(0.1 Forecast,0.2 Previous)

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

3.2 Actual(3.7 Forecast,3.5 Previous)

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel

-0.6 Actual(0 Forecast,0.3 Previous)

Import Prices MoM

0.3 Actual(0.3 Forecast,1.6 Previous)

Import Prices YoY

-13 Actual(-13.1 Forecast,-14.3 Previous)

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

-0.4 Actual(0.1 Forecast,0.3 Previous)

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel

3.2 Actual(3.8 Forecast,3.5 Previous)

Brandenburg CPI YoY

3.4 Actual(0 Forecast,4.6 Previous)

Business Confidence

96.6 Actual(95.5 Forecast,96.1 Previous)

Consumer Confidence

103.6 Actual(101.9 Forecast,101.6 Previous)

Brandenburg CPI MoM

-0.3 Actual(0 Forecast,0 Previous)

Economic Sentiment Index

-29.6 Actual(-40 Forecast,-37.8 Previous)

Hesse CPI YoY

2.9 Actual(0 Forecast,3.6 Previous)

Hesse CPI MoM

-0.4 Actual(0 Forecast,-0.1 Previous)

Baden Wuerttemberg CPI MoM

-0.3 Actual(0 Forecast,0 Previous)

Baden Wuerttemberg CPI YoY

3.4 Actual(4.4 Forecast,4.4 Previous)

Bavaria CPI YoY

2.8 Actual(0 Forecast,3.7 Previous)

Bavaria CPI MoM

-0.4 Actual(0 Forecast,0 Previous)

M4 Money Supply MoM

-1 Forecast(-1.1 Previous)

Net Lending to Individuals MoM

300M Forecast(500M Previous)

BoE Consumer Credit

1.5B Forecast(1.3B Previous)

Mortgage Approvals

42K Forecast(43.3K Previous)

Mortgage Lending

-500M Forecast(-940M Previous)

Saxony CPI YoY

3.9 Actual(0 Forecast,4.5 Previous)

Services Sentiment

4.4 Forecast(4.5 Previous)

Saxony CPI MoM

-0.3 Actual(0 Forecast,0.1 Previous)

Industrial Sentiment

-8.5 Forecast(-9.3 Previous)

Selling Price Expectations

4 Forecast(3.6 Previous)

Economic Sentiment

94 Forecast(93.3 Previous)

2-Year Treasury Gilt Auction

0 Forecast(4.964 Previous)

Consumer Confidence Final

-16.9 Forecast(-17.9 Previous)

PPI MoM

0.3 Forecast(0.6 Previous)

PPI YoY

-10.6 Forecast(-14.1 Previous)

10-Year BTP Auction

0 Forecast(4.76 Previous)

5-Year BTP Auction

0 Forecast(4.12 Previous)

10-Year Bund Auction

0 Forecast(2.64 Previous)

Industrial Sales YoY

-4.3 Forecast(-5 Previous)

Industrial Sales MoM

0.5 Forecast(-0.4 Previous)

IGP-M Inflation MoM

0.5 Forecast(0.5 Previous)

Business Confidence

-9 Forecast(-8.7 Previous)

MBA Mortgage Applications

0 Forecast(3 Previous)

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

0 Forecast(7.41 Previous)

MBA Mortgage Market Index

0 Forecast(175.6 Previous)

MBA Purchase Index

0 Forecast(138.4 Previous)

MBA Mortgage Refinance Index

0 Forecast(359.9 Previous)

PPI MoM

0.3 Forecast(1.11 Previous)

PPI YoY

-7 Forecast(-7.92 Previous)

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

3.4 Forecast(3.8 Previous)

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel

-0.1 Forecast(-0.2 Previous)

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel

2.9 Forecast(3 Previous)

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

-0.1 Forecast(0 Previous)

Goods Trade Balance Adv

-92B Forecast(-85.7B Previous)

Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv

0.1 Forecast(0.2 Previous)

Core PCE Prices QoQ 2nd Est

2.4 Forecast(3.7 Previous)

Corporate Profits QoQ Prel

0.4 Forecast(0.5 Previous)

PCE Prices QoQ 2nd Est

2.9 Forecast(2.5 Previous)

Real Consumer Spending QoQ 2nd Est

4 Forecast(0.8 Previous)

GDP Price Index QoQ 2nd Est

3.5 Forecast(1.7 Previous)

Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv

0.3 Forecast(0.4 Previous)

GDP Sales QoQ 2nd Est

3.5 Forecast(2.1 Previous)

GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est

4.9 Forecast(2.1 Previous)

Current Account

800M Forecast(-6.6B Previous)

EIA Gasoline Stocks Change

229K Forecast(749K Previous)

EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

-933K Forecast(8.7M Previous)

EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change

0 Forecast(858K Previous)

EIA Distillate Stocks Change

-394K Forecast(-1M Previous)

EIA Gasoline Production Change

0 Forecast(-43K Previous)

EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change

0 Forecast(185K Previous)

EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change

0 Forecast(105K Previous)

EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change

0 Forecast(-179K Previous)

EIA Crude Oil Imports Change

0 Forecast(259K Previous)

EUR/USD Akan Berjuang Untuk Memperpanjang Pemulihannya – Commerzbank

FXStreet · 28 Jun 2022 157 Views

Dalam lingkungan yang terkendali, EUR mampu menguat lebih lanjut terhadap USD. Namun, risiko dalam EUR/USD tetap berada di ujung bawah, dalam pandangan ekonom di Commerzbank.

Pemulihan EUR/USD tetap rapuh

"Mungkin mulai semakin sulit bagi EUR untuk terapresiasi karena kekhawatiran bahwa ekonomi global mungkin melemah cenderung menekan sentimen pasar."

"Risiko krisis energi sehubungan dengan perang di Ukraina tetap ada sehingga patut dipertanyakan apakah investor akan bersedia untuk berpijak pada kenaikan EUR lebih lanjut."

"Patut dipertanyakan apakah pidato Presiden ECB Christine Lagarde di forum ECB di Sintra akan memberikan momentum baru bagi EUR hari ini."

Affected Trading Instrument

TRADE

*Risk Disclaimer: The content above represents only the views of the author. It does not represent any views or positions of DCFX and does not mean that DCFX agrees with its statement or description, nor does it constitute any investment advice. For all actions taken by visitors based on information provided by the DCFX, DCFX does not assume any form of liability unless otherwise expressly promised in writing.

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