EUR/USD: Gas Alam Akan Membawa Pasangan Ini Di Bawah Paritas Meskipun Ada Tindakan ECB – MUFG | DCFX

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Newsflash

29 Nov

18:48

Kontrak Berjangka Gas Alam: Ruang untuk Pemulihan Lebih Lanjut dalam Waktu Dekat

16:16

Rupiah ditutup menguat di angka Rp15.390/US$ atau terapresiasi 0,26%. Penguatan terjadi selama tiga hari beruntun sejak 27 November 2023 dan merupakan yang terkuat sejak 22 September 2023 atau lebih dari dua bulan.

13:41

USD/CAD Diperdagangkan di Bawah 1,3550 Mendekati Posisi Terendah Sembilan Pekan, Fokus pada Data AS

12:34

Harga Emas India Hari Ini: Emas Melonjak, Menurut Data MCX

12:32

Harga Emas Naik ke Level Tertinggi Multi-Bulan karena Spekulasi Penurunan Suku Bunga Fed Terus Membebani USD

12:12

WTI Menguat di Atas $76,50, Fokus pada Data PDB AS dan Pertemuan OPEC+

10:13

Harga minyak mentah WTI dibuka lebih tinggi 0,20% di posisi US$76,56 per barel, begitu juga dengan minyak mentah brent dibuka menguat 0,28% ke posisi US$81,69 per barel.

10:11

Rupiah dibuka menguat di angka Rp15.375/US$ atau terapresiasi 0,35%. Penguatan terjadi selama tiga hari beruntun sejak 27 November 2023 dan merupakan yang terkuat sejak 22 September 2023.

08:18

Hingga pukul 06.40 WIB Rabu (29/11/2023), harga emas di pasar spot bergerak lebih tinggi atau naik 0,13% di posisi US$ 2.043,59 per troy ons.

08:04

Harga batu bara ICE Newcastle kontrak Januari ditutup di posisi US$ 127,9 per ton atau melemah 0,92% pada perdagangan Selasa (28/11/2023)

28 Nov

22:55

Prakiraan Harga Emas: XAU/USD Naik ke Tertinggi Enam Bulan di Tengah Lemahnya USD Jelang Pidato Pejabat Fed

22:53

Harga Minyak Naik Seiring Munculnya Rumor Mengenai Pertemuan Pihak OPEC+

19:14

Minyak Turun dari Terendah, sementara OPEC+ Diam Seribu Bahasa Jelang Pertemuan

19:09

Kontrak Berjangka Gas Alam: Pemulihan dalam Jangka Dekat

19:07

Kontrak Berjangka Minyak Mentah: Sisi Negatif Lebih Lanjut Memungkinkan

Calendar

29 Nov

ECB President Lagarde Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

Net Payrolls

190.3K Actual(150K Forecast,211.7K Previous)

52-Week Bill Auction

4.935 Actual(0 Forecast,5.135 Previous)

BoE Haskel Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

7-Year Note Auction

4.399 Actual(0 Forecast,4.908 Previous)

Fed Barr Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

ECB Lane Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

Fed Barr Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

Business Confidence

70 Actual(69 Forecast,69 Previous)

API Crude Oil Stock Change

-817K Actual(-2M Forecast,9M Previous)

Construction Work Done QoQ

1.3 Actual(0.7 Forecast,0.4 Previous)

Monthly CPI Indicator

4.9 Actual(5.2 Forecast,5.6 Previous)

RBNZ Interest Rate Decision

5.5 Actual(5.5 Forecast,5.5 Previous)

BoJ Adachi Speech

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

RBNZ Press Conference

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

Export Prices YoY

-3 Actual(0 Forecast,-2.6 Previous)

PPI YoY

-2.2 Actual(0.2 Forecast,-0.5 Previous)

Import Prices YoY

-0.5 Actual(0 Forecast,0.8 Previous)

North Rhine Westphalia CPI YoY

3 Actual(3.1 Forecast,3.1 Previous)

North Rhine Westphalia CPI MoM

-0.3 Actual(0 Forecast,-0.1 Previous)

ECB Non-Monetary Policy Meeting

0 Forecast(0 Previous)

Core Inflation Rate YoY Prel

4.5 Actual(4.7 Forecast,5.2 Previous)

Retail Sales YoY

5 Actual(5.7 Forecast,6.5 Previous)

Retail Sales MoM

-0.2 Actual(0.1 Forecast,0.2 Previous)

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

3.2 Actual(3.7 Forecast,3.5 Previous)

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel

-0.6 Actual(0 Forecast,0.3 Previous)

Import Prices MoM

0.3 Actual(0.3 Forecast,1.6 Previous)

Import Prices YoY

-13 Actual(-13.1 Forecast,-14.3 Previous)

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

-0.4 Actual(0.1 Forecast,0.3 Previous)

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel

3.2 Actual(3.8 Forecast,3.5 Previous)

Brandenburg CPI YoY

3.4 Actual(0 Forecast,4.6 Previous)

Business Confidence

96.6 Actual(95.5 Forecast,96.1 Previous)

Consumer Confidence

103.6 Actual(101.9 Forecast,101.6 Previous)

Brandenburg CPI MoM

-0.3 Actual(0 Forecast,0 Previous)

Economic Sentiment Index

-29.6 Actual(-40 Forecast,-37.8 Previous)

Hesse CPI YoY

2.9 Actual(0 Forecast,3.6 Previous)

Hesse CPI MoM

-0.4 Actual(0 Forecast,-0.1 Previous)

Baden Wuerttemberg CPI MoM

-0.3 Actual(0 Forecast,0 Previous)

Baden Wuerttemberg CPI YoY

3.4 Actual(4.4 Forecast,4.4 Previous)

Bavaria CPI YoY

2.8 Actual(0 Forecast,3.7 Previous)

Bavaria CPI MoM

-0.4 Actual(0 Forecast,0 Previous)

M4 Money Supply MoM

0.3 Actual(-1 Forecast,-1.1 Previous)

Net Lending to Individuals MoM

1.2B Actual(300M Forecast,500M Previous)

BoE Consumer Credit

1.2B Actual(1.5B Forecast,1.3B Previous)

Mortgage Approvals

47.3K Actual(42K Forecast,43.6K Previous)

Mortgage Lending

-50M Actual(-500M Forecast,-961M Previous)

Saxony CPI YoY

3.9 Actual(0 Forecast,4.5 Previous)

Services Sentiment

4.9 Actual(4.4 Forecast,4.6 Previous)

Saxony CPI MoM

-0.3 Actual(0 Forecast,0.1 Previous)

Industrial Sentiment

-9.5 Actual(-8.5 Forecast,-9.2 Previous)

Selling Price Expectations

2.3 Actual(4 Forecast,3.5 Previous)

Economic Sentiment

93.8 Actual(94 Forecast,93.5 Previous)

2-Year Treasury Gilt Auction

4.554 Actual(0 Forecast,4.964 Previous)

Consumer Confidence Final

-16.9 Actual(-16.9 Forecast,-17.9 Previous)

PPI MoM

1.5 Actual(0.3 Forecast,0.6 Previous)

PPI YoY

-9.5 Actual(-10.6 Forecast,-14.1 Previous)

10-Year BTP Auction

4.17 Actual(0 Forecast,4.76 Previous)

5-Year BTP Auction

3.61 Actual(0 Forecast,4.12 Previous)

10-Year Bund Auction

2.45 Actual(0 Forecast,2.64 Previous)

Industrial Sales YoY

-2.6 Actual(-4.3 Forecast,0 Previous)

Industrial Sales MoM

1.2 Actual(0.5 Forecast,-0.4 Previous)

IGP-M Inflation MoM

0.59 Actual(0.5 Forecast,0.5 Previous)

Business Confidence

-9 Forecast(-8.7 Previous)

MBA Mortgage Applications

0 Forecast(3 Previous)

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate

0 Forecast(7.41 Previous)

MBA Mortgage Market Index

0 Forecast(175.6 Previous)

MBA Purchase Index

0 Forecast(138.4 Previous)

MBA Mortgage Refinance Index

0 Forecast(359.9 Previous)

PPI MoM

0.3 Forecast(1.11 Previous)

PPI YoY

-7 Forecast(-7.92 Previous)

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

3.4 Forecast(3.8 Previous)

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel

-0.1 Forecast(-0.2 Previous)

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel

2.9 Forecast(3 Previous)

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

-0.1 Forecast(0 Previous)

Goods Trade Balance Adv

-92B Forecast(-85.7B Previous)

Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv

0.1 Forecast(0.2 Previous)

Core PCE Prices QoQ 2nd Est

2.4 Forecast(3.7 Previous)

Corporate Profits QoQ Prel

0.4 Forecast(0.5 Previous)

PCE Prices QoQ 2nd Est

2.9 Forecast(2.5 Previous)

Real Consumer Spending QoQ 2nd Est

4 Forecast(0.8 Previous)

GDP Price Index QoQ 2nd Est

3.5 Forecast(1.7 Previous)

Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv

0.3 Forecast(0.4 Previous)

GDP Sales QoQ 2nd Est

3.5 Forecast(2.1 Previous)

GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est

4.9 Forecast(2.1 Previous)

Current Account

800M Forecast(-6.6B Previous)

EIA Gasoline Stocks Change

229K Forecast(749K Previous)

EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

-933K Forecast(8.7M Previous)

EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change

0 Forecast(858K Previous)

EIA Distillate Stocks Change

-394K Forecast(-1M Previous)

EIA Gasoline Production Change

0 Forecast(-43K Previous)

EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change

0 Forecast(185K Previous)

EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change

0 Forecast(105K Previous)

EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change

0 Forecast(-179K Previous)

EIA Crude Oil Imports Change

0 Forecast(259K Previous)

EUR/USD: Gas Alam Akan Membawa Pasangan Ini Di Bawah Paritas Meskipun Ada Tindakan ECB – MUFG

FXStreet · 08 Jul 2022 2.6K Views

Satu hari lagi dan lonjakan besar lainnya dalam harga gas alam di benua ini. Ekonom di MUFG Bank memperkirakan pasangan EUR/USD akan turun di bawah paritas.

Risiko gas alam memperkuat prospek pertumbuhan yang memburuk

"Prospek pertumbuhan sekarang telah menjadi perhatian utama bagi pasar dengan risiko gas alam memperkuat prospek pertumbuhan yang memburuk."

"Kekhawatiran ECB yang sudah ketinggalan zaman atas reaksi pasar terhadap kenaikan suku bunga yang lebih besar di atas risiko pertumbuhan sisi bawah akan menjaga EUR/USD di bawah tekanan ke bawah dengan uji paritas segera terlihat semakin mungkin."

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